Fictional Incidence Research (FIR)

Fictional Incidence Research began as a marginal curiosity about uncanny coincidences between stories and later events. Over time it evolved into a systematic investigation of correlations between real occurrences and narrative prototypes.

FIR researchers catalogue incidents where reality appears to follow fictional patterns: plots mirrored by political events, characters seemingly stepping into life, motifs that translate into market behaviour. By comparing timelines, network structures and statistical likelihoods, they ask whether these alignments are simply cognitive bias or evidence of narrative induction.

The field is inherently collaborative. Early efforts were ad hoc but later were systematised by Sam T., Laura and Mara Kemper, Pete Hagar, Viola Matchings and contributors under pseudonyms like HaleGold. Fringe groups have speculated connections to cryptographic communities such as the early Bitcoin developers, though such claims remain contested. FIR sits at the intersection of literary analysis, data science and cultural forensics.